Once again, the market refused to show its side the obvious manner. It closed an inverted hammer and below the 21DMA (red) following a Tuesday's bullish piercing pattern and this should put initial pressure on the E$. However, the underlying bullish tone is garnering more support technically by the day:
- Price staying above the 50DMA (green) and lower trend line.
- 50DMA has also cut above the 200DMA (blue) last Friday.
- Daily and weekly momentum are also pointing higher
Do note that an inverted hammer is NOT a reversal signal. However, it is an indication that the bears had an upper hand towards the closing.
Order book from last evening:
Stop loss: 1.2850, 1.2870, 1.2880/85, 1.2970 and 1.3020/25
Limit: 1.2880/85, 1.2910/25 and 1.3020/25
Technically, another day with a mixed bag of signals:
- Bullish divergence has emerged in the intraday momentum and this should provide support amid a mildly o/s condition.
- Stops at 1.2970 will attract attention but initial resistance at 1.2980/90 should cap for now.
- Notable buyers and sellers defined the range of 1.2880/90 to 1.3020/30 for now with intraday momentum supporting a consolidation mode.
I would trade the defined range but prefer to buy on dip for today and will patiently wait for market to test the 1.2890/1.2910 and look to take profit around 1.2970/80.
All the best and stay nimble as we approach the apex of this consolidation.
E$ Daily chart - Bulls still have upper hand |
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