A tabulation of the signals:
Bearish
- Price below pivot level of 1.3120/30
- Price still within bearish channel
- Daily and weekly momentum still indicating scope for downside
- Gap not closed yet
Bullish
- No follow-through selling after Monday
- A rejection just above DMA200 at 1.2870/80
- Market could be overly bearish at this moment
- Emergence of bullish divergent signal
Primary trend: Bullish
Intermediate trend: Bearish
Minor trend: Mixed
Europe order book across the market:
Stop loss: 1.2855/40, 1.2860, 1.3005, 1.3010 and 1.3040/50
Limit: 1.2855/40, 1.2985/75 and 1.2990/3000
Technically, intraday indicators are in neutral levels. Intraday oscillators continue to point down though there is bullish divergent signal (too premature to confirm yet). Given a very mixed bag of indicators, I would still see bears having a slight edge at current level but market is susceptible to short-covering and overshooting. I see strong support at 1.2860/70 and 1.3050/60 to cap, both on first test. Will be happy to scalp from both extremes with tight stops. Admittedly, it will have to be a low percentage call today as market is more fundamentally driven at the moment.
E$ Daily chart - Gap not covered but no follow through yet... |
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